
Several Federal Reserve officials who spoke on Wednesday said labor market worries continue to animate their belief that rate cuts still lie ahead for the central bank.
"I've been clear that I think we should be cutting at the next meeting," Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said in an interview with CNBC, reiterating the view he has held for some time and led him to dissent at the late July Fed meeting in favor of an easing. "You want to get ahead of having the labor market go down because usually when the labor market turns bad, it turns bad fast," he said.
He added that a rate cut at the September 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee meeting would not put monetary policy on a pre-set course of lowering borrowing costs and data will drive what the central bank does. But, "I would say over the next three to six months, we could see multiple cuts coming in."
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also reiterated his view that a rate cut is in the cards although he did not say how soon it might happen. He wrote in an essay that "today, I judge policy to be marginally restrictive." He added, "while price stability remains the primary concern, the labor market is slowing enough that some easing in policy probably on the order of 25 basis points will be appropriate over the remainder of this year."
And in a hometown speech, Minneapolis Fed leader Neel Kashkari said with the neutral fed funds rate around 3%, "that suggests that interest rates have some room to come down gently over the next couple of years." The official also declined to say when he believes the Fed should cut rates given the uncertainties created by trade policy.
The Fed's meeting later this month is viewed by investors as a lock for a quarter percentage point cut in what is now a 4.25% to 4.5% federal funds interest rate target range.
The market's confidence is rooted in comments made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell late last month at the Kansas City Fed's Jackson Hole, Wyoming research conference when he said, "with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance."
In weighing a rate cut, Fed officials are trying to balance their legally mandated mission of keeping inflation low and the job market as strong as it can be without creating price pressures.
Many Fed officials, as well as many private sector economists, are concerned inflation is too high and likely to get higher in response to President Donald Trump's huge increase in import taxes. Kashkari noted because of these factors, "we're getting into a tricky position" for Fed policy.
Source: Investing.com
Conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve on the timing and magnitude of U.S. interest rate cuts have accelerated hedging flows into swaptions and derivatives tied to overnight rates, with investor...
Markets are pricing in a near-certain 25bp Fed cut in December, influenced by dovish Fed chatter and signs of a slowing US economy, while the US Dollar (USD) shows mixed reactions. Kevin Hassett seen...
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday he was concluding a second round of interviews later in the day for a new U.S. Federal Reserve leader, and there was a good chance President Donal...
Allies of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have laid the groundwork for him to push through an interest rate cut during the central bank's December 9-10 meeting, the Wall Street Journal's Nick Timi...
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday said he is uneasy about cutting interest rates in the face of too-high inflation that's steady at best and by some measures getting worse,...
Gold prices weakened in early December, dragged down by investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's looming interest rate decision. Amid speculation that the Fed was ready to cut rates again this month, market participants opted to hold back,...
Asian stock markets fluctuated at the start of the week, following the modest gains in US stocks last Friday. Investors are now turning their attention to a series of key economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut...
Oil prices rose again after OPEC+ confirmed plans to temporarily halt production increases during the first quarter. This Saudi Arabia-led decision is considered a response to seasonally weaker market conditions. Brent is now trading above $63 per...
Trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was halted on Friday (November 28th) following a cooling issue at one of its data centers.
"Due to...
Conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve on the timing and magnitude of U.S. interest rate cuts have accelerated hedging flows into swaptions...
European stocks ended Friday in positive territory as investors digested the end of a choppy month.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 closed the session...
Both the STOXX 50 and the STOXX 600 hovered around the flatline on the final trading day of a volatile November, as the recent rally in global...